Professor of International Relations at FGV/Brazil
CLIMATE CHANGE POLITICS IN NEW DEMOCRACIES
"Public Aversion to Irresponsible Foreign Investment: Experimental Evidence from Brazil". With Carolina Moehlecke and Guilherme Fasolin, 2023. PDF
"Nationalist Backlash Against Foreign Climate Shaming". Global Environmental Politics, 22, no 1 (2022): 139–58. With Umberto Mignozzetti and Guilherme Fasolin. PDF | Supplementary Material
"Climate Change Beliefs and their Correlates in Latin America" (R&R). Research Square.
"Determinants of Individual-Level Climate Risk Perception in Latin America" (under review).
"Defiance Against Foreign Shaming during Climate Crises” (Working Paper). With Guilherme Fasolin, Juliana Camargo, and Renan C. Marques.
CHALLENGES TO LIBERAL INTERNATIONAL ORDER
"Drivers of Hesitation towards Chinese Investment in Host States: Experimental Evidence from Brazil". With Carolina Moehlecke and Guilherme Fasolin, 2023. PDF
"Hypocrisy Costs: Experimental Evidence on Foreign Public Support for Liberal International Order". With Guilherme Fasolin [Pre-Analysis Plan].
"Networked Resistance to Transnational Repression" (Working Paper).
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"How Time Horizons Moderate Patron Influence on State Repression" (Working Paper).
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"Regionalism and Political Violence: Hegemony through Transnational Social Compacts in Cold War South America." In Latin America in Global International Relations, edited by Amitav Acharya, Melisa Deciancio, and Diana Tussie. Routledge, 2021.
THE POLITICS OF NUCLEAR LATENCY
"Public Support for Nuclear Proliferation: Experimental Evidence from Brazil". Journal of Global Security Studies, 7, no 4 (2022): 1-11. With Guilherme Fasolin and Juliana Camargo.
"The Global South in the Nuclear Age," forthcoming in The Cambridge History of the Nuclear Age, edited by Leopoldo Nuti and Christian Ostermann.
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“‘We Are Not a Nonproliferation Agency’: Henry Kissinger’s Failed Attempt to Accommodate Nuclear Brazil, 1974–1977.” Journal of Cold War Studies 22, no 2 (2020): 58–93. With Carlo Patti. PDF
"Nuclear Revolution and Hegemonic Hierarchies: how global Hiroshima played out in South America." In The Age of Hiroshima, edited by Michael D. Gordin & G. John Ikenberry, 164-178. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 2020. PDF
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"Without Reversal: Brazil as a Latent Nuclear State." In Nuclear Latency and Hedging, edited by Joseph F. Pilat, 175-199. Washington D.C.: Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, 2019. PDF.
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"The Evolution of Brazil's Nuclear Intentions." The Nonproliferation Review. 23, no 5 (2016): 635-652. PDF.
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The Origins of Nuclear Cooperation: a Critical Oral History of Argentina and Brazil, edited by Matias Spektor, Rodrigo Mallea and Nicholas Wheeler. Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars and FGV, 2015.
REGIONAL SECURITY IN THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE
"The United States and the 1964 Brazilian Military Coup." Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Latin American History, 2018, p. 1-19. PDF
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"Brazil: the Underlying Ideas of Regional Policies." In Regional Leadership in the Global System: Ideas, Interests and Strategies of Regional Powers, edited by Daniel Flemes, 191-204. New York: Routledge, 2010. PDF.
THE GRAND STRATEGIES OF MODERN BRAZIL
"Strategies of Rising Brazil: Postmortem Review, Looking Forward." Contemporary Politics, 28, no 1 (2021): 20-37. PDF.
“República na era da globalização.” In Dicionário da República: 51 textos críticos, edited by Lilia Moritz Schwarcz and Heloisa Murgel Starling. São Paulo: Companhia das Letras, 2019. PDF.
“Brazil: When Political Oligarchies Limit Polarization but Fuel Populism.” In Democracies Divided: The Global Challenge of Political Polarization, edited by Thomas Carothers & Andrew O'Donohue, 228-254. Washington DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2019. With Umberto Mignozzetti. Amazon.
"Diplomacia da Ruptura." In Democracia em risco? 22 ensaios sobre o Brasil hoje, 228-254. São Paulo: Companhia das Letras, 2019. PDF.
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"Brazil: The Costs of Multiparty Presidentialism." Journal of Democracy. 29, no 2 (2018): 113-127. With Eduardo Mello. PDF.​
"Brazil: Shadows of the Past and Contested Ambitions." In Shaper Nations: Strategies for a Changing World, edited by William I. Hitchcock, Melvyn P. Leffler, Jeffrey W. Legro, 17-35. Harvard University Press, 2016. PDF.
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"O projeto autonomista na política externa brasileira". In Política Externa, Espaço e Desenvolvimento, edited by Aristides Monteiro Neto, 19-60. 1ed. Brasília: Ipea, v. 3, 2014. PDF.
"Brazilian Assessment of the End of the Cold War." In The end of the Cold War in the Third World: new perspectives on regional conflict, edited by Artemy M. Kalinovsky and Sergey Radchenko, 229-244. New York: Routledge, 2011. PDF.
"Obama and Brazil." In Shifting the Balance: Obama and the Americas, edited by Abraham F. Lowenthal, Theodore J. Piccone and Laurence Whitehead, 43-53, Brookings Institution Press, 2011. PDF.
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"Globalização e Estado nas revoluções globais de 1968: Irã, Brasil e Indonésia". Revista Estudos Históricos. 23, no 46 (2010): 363 - 376. PDF.
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"Ideias de ativismo regional: a transformação das leituras brasileiras da região". Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional. 53, no 1 (2010): 25-44. PDF.
"Origens e direção do Pragmatismo Ecumênico e Responsável (1974-1979)". Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional. 47, no 2 (2004): 191-222. PDF.
"O Brasil e a Argentina entre a cordialidade oficial e o projeto de integração (1967-1979)". Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional. 45, no 1 (2002): 117-145 . PDF.
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"A abertura do Acervo Azeredo da Silveira". Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional. 44, no 2 (2001): 186-189. PDF.
​18 dias: quando Lula e FHC se uniram para conquistar o apoio de Bush. Objetiva, 2014. Amazon.
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Kissinger e o Brasil. Jorge Zahar, 2009. Amazon.
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Dez Desafios de Política Externa. (Edited by Matias Spektor). CEBRI, 2016. PDF.
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Azeredo da Silveira: um depoimento. (Edited by Matias Spektor). FGV, 2010. Amazon.
POLICY AND OPINION
"The Upside of Western Hypocrisy: How the Global South Can Push America to Do Better." (July, 2023). Foreign Affairs.
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"UN Security Council Reform: What the World Thinks - Brazil" (June, 2023). Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. With Stewart Patrick et al.
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In Defense of the Fence Sitters: What the West Gets Wrong about Hedging” (2023). Foreign Affairs, Vol 10, Number 3: 8-16. Special issue on The Nonaligned World: The West, the Rest, and the New Global Disorder.
What Lula’s Return Means for the Amazon: The Fate of the Brazilian Rainforest Has Global Implications (November, 2022). Foreign Affairs. With Guilherme Fasolin.
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Prospects for Nuclear Governance in Brazil, An Independent Report by Togzhan Kassenova, Lucas Florentino and Matias Spektor (March 2020).
PDF | Portuguese version
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Bolsonaro will regret baiting China the Chinese Tiger, The Financial Times (December 2018).
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Si no logra los cambios prometidos, la ola también se lo tragará, La Nacion (October 2018).
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It's Not Just the Right That's Voting for Bolsonaro. It's Everyone, Foreign Policy (October 2018).
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How Brazil's Operation Car Wash Is Threatened by Politicans, Foreign Affairs (May 2018).
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Prospects for Safeguarding Brazil's Naval Nucelar Propulsion Program Issue Brief. Federation of American Scientists (August 2017).
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How to Fix Brazil: Breaking an Addiction to Bad Government, Foreign Affairs (September/October,2016): 102-110. With Eduardo Mello.
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AQ Top 5 Corruption Busters: Sérgio Moro, Americas Quarterly (October 2016).
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Five Goals for Brazil's New Foreign Policy, Americas Quarterly (October 2016).
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A política externa de tucanos e petistas, Folha de São Paulo, Ilustríssima (Outubro de 2015).
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The State of Brazil's South American Project. Inter-American Dialogue (June 2014). p. 1-11.
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U.S Nuclear Accomodation of Brazil a Model for Iran Policy? World Politics Review (July 2013).
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Humanitarian Interventionism Brazilian Style? Americas Quarterly (Summer 2012).
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One Foot in the Region: Eyes on the Global Prize, Americas Quarterly (Spring 2011): 56-61.
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Brazil-China: What's Next After Rousseff's Visit? Americas Quarterly (April 2011).
